Well, we now know that performance is much less of a determining factor than something like drafts, strats and even farm and house habits. The thing is, probabilistically, the theoretical top-8 seeds not meeting each other in 1st round in a completely random draw is 7/15*6/14*5/13*...*1/9 which is 0.01554% (I think I did the math correct here). If there are multiple controversial choices of top-8 players this odd will be up a lot, but still under 1.86% (10!/3!*8!/15! if you have 11 top-8, 1111) . But eventually, it is almost certain that we have to consider at least 1-2 top-8 to be out just from that Ro16. This is at least what I have learnt from this HC guessing experience.I didn't believe Tatoh getting 4-0 till the end. Unfortunately it must've been due to some random factor (illness) because I don't believe in-shape tatoh could lose like this.
Also from hindsight, we have to presume that it is quite likely some players will play unexpectedly well or badly, (ACCM playing absolutely fantastic and supposedly Tatoh feeling ill and Yo suffering a little from his Lunar New Year travel), so for me I need to refrain from thinking or/and saying things like "this can't be X because it's just hard to believe". 11
Great discussions guys. Really learned a lot and appreciate all the sharings. See you around in a year, hopefully.